Sheffield United 1-4 Burnley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

Sheffield United
1-4 HT 0-2
Burnley
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Sheffield United vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.62
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
13%
5.74
X/2
17%
5.77
X/X
17%
4.82
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
12%
3.65
2/X
4%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield United v Burnley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.78/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.20
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
19.9 Crosses 20.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sheffield United vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Burnley
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.33 xG 1.30
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
270 Passes 384
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Burnley Burnley 5-0 HT 2-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
10.04.2023 Burnley Burnley 2-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
05.11.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 5-2 HT 1-2 Burnley Burnley İNCL
23.05.2021 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-0 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
29.12.2020 Burnley Burnley 1-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
17.09.2020 Burnley Burnley 1-1 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNLK

Sheffield United 1-4 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
1-4
AWAY Burnley
2.43 xG 2.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 16
11 Shots on Target 9
11 Corners 2
360 Passes 416
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
41 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Burnley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley cruised past Sheffield United 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Burnley found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sheffield United had 49% of the ball to Burnley's 51%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.43 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sheffield United and 1.83 for Burnley.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Burnley?

Sheffield United 1-4 Burnley in the England - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Burnley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 37%, draw 27%, Burnley 35%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sheffield United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sheffield United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
20 Apr 2024
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