Wolverhampton 0-2 Arsenal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

Wolverhampton
0-2 HT 0-1
Arsenal
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Wolverhampton vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.78
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
64%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
16.45
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
6%
24.0
X/1
6%
20.7
X/2
16%
3.4
X/X
7%
7.89
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
41%
1.48
2/X
6%
23.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+7.0pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.7pp
64%
Away Win
73%
-8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolverhampton v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal EU Bookmakers 77%
+12% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
0.74/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.79
-9% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +25%
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 556 · 86%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.9
15.5 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Wolverhampton vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Arsenal
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.92 xG 2.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
376 Passes 433
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 34
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 2-1 HT 2-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
28.05.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 5-0 HT 3-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
12.11.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-2 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
24.02.2022 Arsenal Arsenal 2-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
10.02.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
02.02.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 1-1 Arsenal Arsenal İNP

Wolverhampton 0-2 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
0-2
AWAY Arsenal
0.17 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 2
381 Passes 469
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
6 Box Touches 52
6 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Arsenal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal beat Wolverhampton 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 46% of the ball to Arsenal's 54%, shots finished 5-24, expected goals 0.17 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wolverhampton and 2.17 for Arsenal.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Arsenal?

Wolverhampton 0-2 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Arsenal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 17%, draw 19%, Arsenal 64%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
20 Apr 2024
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