Göteborg 1-1 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Apr 2024

Göteborg
1-1 HT 1-1
Norrköping
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Göteborg vs Norrköping Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
12%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.06
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
21%
3.81
X/2
6%
10.4
X/X
12%
5.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
2/2
11%
8.2
2/X
10%
16.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Göteborg v Norrköping — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.86/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.70
+4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
23.0 Crosses 18.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Göteborg vs Norrköping Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Norrköping
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.72 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
316 Passes 355
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.08.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 3-0 HT 2-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
01.05.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 1-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
05.03.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-4 HT 0-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
01.08.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
25.07.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 0-2 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
04.12.2021 Norrköping Norrköping 1-2 HT 1-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ

Göteborg 1-1 Norrköping — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
1-1
AWAY Norrköping
0.96 xG 2.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
307 Passes 333
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg and Norrköping shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Göteborg at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Göteborg had 47% of the ball to Norrköping's 53%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.96 to 2.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göteborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Göteborg and 1.50 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs Norrköping?

Göteborg 1-1 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 47%, draw 28%, Norrköping 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Göteborg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Göteborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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