Malmö FF 1-0 Vasteras SK FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Apr 2024

Malmö FF
1-0 HT 0-0
Vasteras SK FK
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Malmö FF vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.45
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
11%
6.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
22.7
X/1
18%
3.54
X/2
5%
21.45
X/X
9%
8.41
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
5%
16.2
2/X
6%
22.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-9.9pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.1pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malmö FF v Vasteras SK FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.09/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.31
-1% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +119%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
467 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
22.9 Crosses 27.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0

Malmö FF vs Vasteras SK FK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.02.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-2 HT 0-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK

Malmö FF 1-0 Vasteras SK FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
1-0
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
1.96 xG 0.95
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
493 Passes 285
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Vasteras SK FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF squeezed past Vasteras SK FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 60% of the ball to Vasteras SK FK's 40%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.96 to 0.95.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Vasteras SK FK?

Malmö FF 1-0 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Vasteras SK FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 62%, draw 23%, Vasteras SK FK 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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