Kilia Kiel 1-1 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.53
No
54%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
20%
+3.1pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.5pp
47%
Away Win
59%
-11.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.9pp
54%
BTTS No
39%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilia Kiel EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 62%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.41/2.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.39
+25% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilia Kiel
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hamburg II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 4-2 HT 3-0 Kilia Kiel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Kilia Kiel vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilia Kiel and Hamburg II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hamburg II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Kilia Kiel vs Hamburg II?

Kilia Kiel 1-1 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilia Kiel vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kilia Kiel 23%, draw 30%, Hamburg II 47%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg II) ✗ BTTS No
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