St. Pauli U19 2-3 Werder Bremen U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.96
Over 2.5
52%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
30%
+17.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
70%
-17.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.3pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli U19 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen U19 EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli U19
2-3
AWAY Werder Bremen U19
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Pauli U19 vs Werder Bremen U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen U19 edged past St. Pauli U19 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pauli U19 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, St. Pauli U19 had 56% of the ball to Werder Bremen U19's 44%, shots finished 8-19.

What was the final score of St. Pauli U19 vs Werder Bremen U19?

St. Pauli U19 2-3 Werder Bremen U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli U19 vs Werder Bremen U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli U19 48%, draw 24%, Werder Bremen U19 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Pauli U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Pauli U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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