Futura 3-7 PEPO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Kakkonen, 20 Apr 2024

Futura
3-7 HT 1-3
PEPO
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Finland - Kakkonen – 2024

Futura vs PEPO Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.13
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.98
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.41
No
33%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
7.67
2-3 Goals
38%
2.27
4-5 Goals
31%
2.41
6+ Goals
19%
4.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
21%
+10.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
45%
Away Win
59%
-13.3pp
31%
Under 2.5
30%
+0.8pp
69%
Over 2.5
70%
-0.8pp
67%
BTTS Yes
67%
-0.0pp
33%
BTTS No
33%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Futura v PEPO — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Futura EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY PEPO EU Bookmakers 62%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.30/4.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/1.78
+1% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.1

Futura vs PEPO Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Futura
0W-0D-2L
AWAY PEPO
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Futura Futura 3-5 HT 1-2 PEPO PEPO FİNKAK
22.07.2023 PEPO PEPO 6-1 HT 4-0 Futura Futura FİNKAK
POST-MATCH Futura vs PEPO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEPO swept aside Futura 7-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PEPO as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 7-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, PEPO led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Futura and 5.50 for PEPO.

What was the final score of Futura vs PEPO?

Futura 3-7 PEPO in the Finland - Kakkonen on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Futura vs PEPO?

Before kick-off our model rated an PEPO win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Futura 32%, draw 23%, PEPO 45%. The final score 3-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PEPO), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PEPO) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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