JBK 0-2 JS Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Kakkonen, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.77
6+ Goals
10%
7.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.98 — our 24% vs market 15.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JBK EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY JS Hercules EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.45/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/3.53
+9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
422 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JBK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY JS Hercules
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 JS Hercules JS Hercules 1-1 HT 1-1 JBK JBK FİNKAK
23.04.2023 JBK JBK 8-1 HT 5-0 JS Hercules JS Hercules FİNKAK
21.08.2022 JBK JBK 1-1 HT 0-0 JS Hercules JS Hercules FİNKAK
05.06.2022 JS Hercules JS Hercules 5-0 HT 2-0 JBK JBK FİNKAK
28.08.2021 JBK JBK 1-2 HT 0-1 JS Hercules JS Hercules FİNKAK
12.06.2021 JS Hercules JS Hercules 3-0 HT 0-0 JBK JBK FİNKAK
POST-MATCH JBK vs JS Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JS Hercules saw off JBK 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was JBK at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JS Hercules led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for JBK and 2.17 for JS Hercules.

What was the final score of JBK vs JS Hercules?

JBK 0-2 JS Hercules in the Finland - Kakkonen on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JBK vs JS Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a JBK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split JBK 53%, draw 26%, JS Hercules 21%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JBK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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