OTP 1-2 Kuopion Elo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Kakkonen, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.83
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.5pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.7pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OTP EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuopion Elo EU Bookmakers 37%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.37/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.40
-19% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OTP
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kuopion Elo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
05.08.2023 Kuopion Elo Kuopion Elo 0-1 HT 0-1 OTP OTP FİNKAK
13.05.2023 OTP OTP 3-1 HT 1-0 Kuopion Elo Kuopion Elo FİNKAK
POST-MATCH OTP vs Kuopion Elo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuopion Elo squeezed past OTP 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was OTP at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, OTP had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for OTP and 0.50 for Kuopion Elo.

What was the final score of OTP vs Kuopion Elo?

OTP 1-2 Kuopion Elo in the Finland - Kakkonen on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OTP vs Kuopion Elo?

Before kick-off our model rated a OTP win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split OTP 47%, draw 18%, Kuopion Elo 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (OTP) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OTP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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