Golden Arrows 1-1 Royal AM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal AM EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
1.22/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.36
+8% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.8 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Golden Arrows
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Royal AM
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.27 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2023 Royal AM Royal AM 1-0 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
11.03.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 1-3 HT 0-1 Royal AM Royal AM GAF8K
04.02.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 1-2 HT 0-0 Royal AM Royal AM GAFPSL
25.10.2022 Royal AM Royal AM 3-1 HT 2-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
14.05.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 2-2 HT 2-2 Royal AM Royal AM GAFPSL
12.12.2021 Royal AM Royal AM 0-0 HT 0-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Golden Arrows
1-1
AWAY Royal AM
0.29 xG 0.61
43% Ball Possession 57%
2 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
261 Passes 377
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Golden Arrows vs Royal AM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Golden Arrows and Royal AM couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Golden Arrows had 43% of the ball to Royal AM's 57%, shots finished 2-10, expected goals 0.29 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal AM led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Golden Arrows and 1.83 for Royal AM.

What was the final score of Golden Arrows vs Royal AM?

Golden Arrows 1-1 Royal AM in the South Afrika - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Golden Arrows vs Royal AM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Golden Arrows win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Golden Arrows 39%, draw 32%, Royal AM 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Golden Arrows), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Golden Arrows) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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