Sekhukhune United 1-0 Ajax Cape Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
4.84
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sekhukhune United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax Cape Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -16%
2.25/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.86
-38% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
21.0 Crosses 13.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sekhukhune United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ajax Cape Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.23 xG 0.59
46% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
288 Passes 342
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2023 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United GAFPSL
10.03.2023 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United 2-0 HT 2-0 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sekhukhune United
1-0
AWAY Ajax Cape Town
1.71 xG 0.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
371 Passes 337
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sekhukhune United vs Ajax Cape Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sekhukhune United edged past Ajax Cape Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sekhukhune United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sekhukhune United had 52% of the ball to Ajax Cape Town's 48%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.71 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sekhukhune United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sekhukhune United and 0.00 for Ajax Cape Town.

What was the final score of Sekhukhune United vs Ajax Cape Town?

Sekhukhune United 1-0 Ajax Cape Town in the South Afrika - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sekhukhune United vs Ajax Cape Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sekhukhune United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sekhukhune United 49%, draw 26%, Ajax Cape Town 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sekhukhune United), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sekhukhune United) ✓ Under 2.5
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