Orlando Pirates 1-0 AmaZulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 30% vs market 28.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+10.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY AmaZulu EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.71/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.46
+9% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
18.3 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
4W-2D-0L
AWAY AmaZulu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.80 xG 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
323 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 AmaZulu AmaZulu 2-4 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAF8K
24.10.2023 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
05.11.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 1-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAF8K
14.10.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-1 HT 1-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
06.02.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAF8K
23.12.2021 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-1 HT 1-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
1-0
AWAY AmaZulu
1.58 xG 0.83
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
418 Passes 169
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 16
7 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs AmaZulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates edged past AmaZulu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 66% of the ball to AmaZulu's 34%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.58 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orlando Pirates and 0.67 for AmaZulu.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs AmaZulu?

Orlando Pirates 1-0 AmaZulu in the South Afrika - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs AmaZulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 53%, draw 24%, AmaZulu 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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