Osijek vs Istra 1961 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Osijek v Istra 1961 — Team-Based Signals
Osijek vs Istra 1961 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-0
Istra 1961
HIR
4-4
HT 1-1
Osijek
HIR
1-0
HT 0-0
Istra 1961
HIR
1-0
HT 0-0
Osijek
HIR
2-0
HT 0-0
Istra 1961
HIR
Osijek 1-2 Istra 1961 — Actual Match Statistics
Istra 1961 edged past Osijek 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Osijek at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Osijek had 49% of the ball to Istra 1961's 51%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.16 to 0.65 — on chances, Osijek could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Osijek and 1.17 for Istra 1961.
What was the final score of Osijek vs Istra 1961?
Osijek 1-2 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Osijek vs Istra 1961?
Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Osijek 48%, draw 28%, Istra 1961 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.