Mazatlan 0-2 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.19
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
9%
9.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.41/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.56
+10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
16.3 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Juarez
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 0.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
328 Passes 363
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 3-1 HT 2-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
26.07.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez CONLK
04.02.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-3 HT 1-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
21.08.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 0-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
23.04.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-2 HT 0-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
29.09.2021 Mazatlan Mazatlan 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
0-2
AWAY FC Juarez
1.69 xG 1.86
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 7
261 Passes 401
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 39
17 Crosses 24
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez got the better of Mazatlan 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mazatlan at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mazatlan had 41% of the ball to FC Juarez's 59%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.69 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mazatlan and 1.50 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs FC Juarez?

Mazatlan 0-2 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 46%, draw 23%, FC Juarez 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mazatlan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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