Tijuana vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tijuana v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Tijuana
MEK
5-2
HT 2-1
Tijuana
MEK
3-3
HT 1-1
Puebla
MEK
3-1
HT 0-1
Tijuana
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
Puebla
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Tijuana
MEK
Tijuana 3-1 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Tijuana got the better of Puebla 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tijuana as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Tijuana had 65% of the ball to Puebla's 35%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.13 to 0.83.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puebla led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tijuana and 2.50 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Tijuana vs Puebla?
Tijuana 3-1 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 51%, draw 26%, Puebla 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tijuana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.