Santa Clara vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Clara v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
Santa Clara vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
Santa Clara
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Tondela
PRLK
2-0
HT 1-0
Santa Clara
POK
2-2
HT 2-0
Tondela
POR
3-0
HT 1-0
Santa Clara
POR
1-1
HT 0-1
Tondela
POR
Santa Clara 1-0 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Clara nicked a narrow win over Tondela 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Santa Clara had 39% of the ball to Tondela's 61%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 1.71 to 0.33 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Santa Clara's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Clara and 1.67 for Tondela.
What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Tondela?
Santa Clara 1-0 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Tondela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 46%, draw 29%, Tondela 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.