Torreense 0-3 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.75
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.24
6+ Goals
7%
20.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 32% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.28/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.08
-25% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.2 Crosses 19.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.49 xG 0.77
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
530 Passes 288
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-0 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
0-3
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.78 xG 1.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 4
452 Passes 262
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria swept aside Torreense 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Uniao De Leiria made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Torreense had 60% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 40%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.78 to 1.83.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Uniao De Leiria?

Torreense 0-3 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Torreense 37%, draw 31%, Uniao De Leiria 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Torreense), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torreense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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