Olimpija Ljubljana 5-0 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.29
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.3pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.8pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.95/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.36
-6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -17%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Aluminij
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 0-4 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
29.10.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
19.08.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 4-5 HT 2-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
26.04.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 2-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVNK
08.05.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 2-3 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
06.03.2022 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 6-0 HT 2-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
5-0
AWAY Aluminij
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana ran out comfortable winners over Aluminij 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 59% of the ball to Aluminij's 41%, shots finished 23-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.17 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij?

Olimpija Ljubljana 5-0 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 61%, draw 24%, Aluminij 15%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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