Brommapojkarna 3-2 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 30% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.64
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
11%
4.75
X/2
15%
8.0
X/X
13%
4.86
2/1
6%
24.2
2/2
15%
5.92
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-12.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
25%
+11.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +25%
1.37/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.44
-3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +93%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.0 Crosses 15.5
0.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
373 Passes 341
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-1 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
12.05.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
05.08.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
04.05.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
20.08.2017 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-1 HT 1-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
18.04.2017 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
3-2
AWAY IFK Varnamo
2.30 xG 1.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 6
343 Passes 490
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
31 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brommapojkarna edged past IFK Varnamo 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Brommapojkarna found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 43% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 57%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 2.30 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brommapojkarna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brommapojkarna and 0.83 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs IFK Varnamo?

Brommapojkarna 3-2 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brommapojkarna win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 36%, draw 28%, IFK Varnamo 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5
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