Valencia II 3-1 Cornella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.78
Over
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No Pick
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cornella EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.69/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.67
+10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Cornella
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Cornella Cornella 1-1 HT 1-0 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
05.01.2020 Cornella Cornella 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia II Valencia II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia II
3-1
AWAY Cornella
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valencia II vs Cornella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia II got the better of Cornella 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valencia II as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valencia II had 70% of the ball to Cornella's 30%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cornella led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Valencia II and 1.00 for Cornella.

What was the final score of Valencia II vs Cornella?

Valencia II 3-1 Cornella in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia II vs Cornella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Valencia II 54%, draw 24%, Cornella 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valencia II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valencia II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
20 Apr 2025
13:00 Rayo Cantabria vs Real Aviles Analysis →
13:00 SS Reyes vs Illescas Analysis →
13:00 Union Adarve vs Conquense Analysis →
13:00 Cadiz II vs Antoniano Analysis →
13:00 Linense vs Linares Deportivo Analysis →
13:00 Espanyol II vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Analysis →