Chemnitzer FC 2-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -21%
1.29/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.52
-18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
08.12.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 7-2 HT 2-2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
25.02.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-0 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
10.09.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
08.04.2018 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-5 HT 0-3 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC AL3
27.10.2017 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt AL3
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC beat Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chemnitzer FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 1.83 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Chemnitzer FC 2-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 41%, draw 25%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chemnitzer FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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