Buchbach 1-0 Würzburger Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.47/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.32
+9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Würzburger Kickers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 3-0 HT 2-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
15.03.2024 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 1-1 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
01.09.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 0-1 HT 0-0 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
01.04.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 0-0 HT 0-0 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
10.09.2022 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 7-1 HT 2-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
29.07.2014 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 5-0 HT 3-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Würzburger Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach nicked a narrow win over Würzburger Kickers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Würzburger Kickers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Würzburger Kickers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Buchbach and 2.83 for Würzburger Kickers.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Würzburger Kickers?

Buchbach 1-0 Würzburger Kickers in the Germany - Regional League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Würzburger Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Würzburger Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 34%, draw 22%, Würzburger Kickers 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
20 Apr 2025
14:00 Chemnitzer FC vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Analysis →
14:00 Hertha Zehlendorf vs Lokomotive Leipzig Analysis →
15:00 MSV Duisburg vs Köln II Analysis →
15:00 Hoffenheim II vs Hessen Kassel Analysis →