MSV Duisburg 3-1 Köln II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln II EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.47/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.58
-17% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MSV Duisburg
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Köln II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.10.2024 Köln II Köln II 1-1 HT 0-1 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg vs Köln II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg beat Köln II 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Köln II?

MSV Duisburg 3-1 Köln II in the Germany - Regional League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Köln II?

Before kick-off our model rated a MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 45%, draw 26%, Köln II 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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