Persita Tangerang 3-2 Arema Malang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persita Tangerang EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.07/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.26
-14% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persita Tangerang
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Arema Malang
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
407 Passes 292
03.12.2024 Arema Malang Arema Malang 3-0 HT 1-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
13.03.2024 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 4-3 HT 2-2 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
16.09.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-0 HT 0-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
17.12.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-0 HT 1-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
15.02.2022 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 0-2 HT 0-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
27.10.2021 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-2 HT 2-1 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persita Tangerang
3-2
AWAY Arema Malang
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Persita Tangerang vs Arema Malang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persita Tangerang edged past Arema Malang 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Arema Malang at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Persita Tangerang had 49% of the ball to Arema Malang's 51%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arema Malang led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Persita Tangerang and 2.00 for Arema Malang.

What was the final score of Persita Tangerang vs Arema Malang?

Persita Tangerang 3-2 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persita Tangerang vs Arema Malang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Persita Tangerang 33%, draw 25%, Arema Malang 42%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arema Malang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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