Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Persebaya Surabaya v Madura United — Team-Based Signals
Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Persebaya Surabaya
ENDL1
2-2
HT 1-1
Madura United
ENDL1
1-2
HT 1-1
Persebaya Surabaya
ENDL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Madura United
ENDL1
Persebaya Surabaya nicked a narrow win over Madura United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Persebaya Surabaya as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 0.67 for Madura United.
What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United?
Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 52%, draw 24%, Madura United 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.