JSM Laayoune 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.51
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+12.6pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JSM Laayoune EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 29%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.21/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.08
+11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JSM Laayoune
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
08.12.2024 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 1-0 JSM Laayoune FAS2
17.02.2024 JSM Laayoune 3-1 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
17.09.2023 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 HT 0-1 JSM Laayoune FAS2
04.12.2022 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 2-2 HT 0-1 JSM Laayoune FAS2
POST-MATCH JSM Laayoune vs Chabab Ben Guerir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JSM Laayoune and Chabab Ben Guerir couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was JSM Laayoune at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for JSM Laayoune and 1.25 for Chabab Ben Guerir.

What was the final score of JSM Laayoune vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

JSM Laayoune 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JSM Laayoune vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Before kick-off our model rated a JSM Laayoune win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split JSM Laayoune 41%, draw 33%, Chabab Ben Guerir 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (JSM Laayoune), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JSM Laayoune) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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