Yacoub El Mansour 2-1 USM Oujda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 20 Apr 2025

Yacoub El Mansour
2-1
USM Oujda
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Morocco - Botola 2 – 2025/2026

Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yacoub El Mansour v USM Oujda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yacoub El Mansour EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 19%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.31/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.01
-10% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yacoub El Mansour
0W-0D-1L
AWAY USM Oujda
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
07.12.2024 USM Oujda 1-0 Yacoub El Mansour FAS2
POST-MATCH Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yacoub El Mansour nicked a narrow win over USM Oujda 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yacoub El Mansour as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda?

Yacoub El Mansour 2-1 USM Oujda in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yacoub El Mansour vs USM Oujda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yacoub El Mansour win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Yacoub El Mansour 51%, draw 28%, USM Oujda 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yacoub El Mansour) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yacoub El Mansour) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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