20/04/2025
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Mouloudia Oujda vs Stade Marocain Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
30%
Draw
30%
24%
Away Win
24%
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
53%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mouloudia Oujda v Stade Marocain — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mouloudia Oujda
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Stade Marocain
EU Bookmakers 28%
+26% /
+26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-4% /
+4%
1.99/0.51
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.67/1.27
+67%
/
+51%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-16%
/
-17%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
343 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
222 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
Mouloudia Oujda vs Stade Marocain Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Mouloudia Oujda
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Stade Marocain
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Mouloudia Oujda vs Stade Marocain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mouloudia Oujda nicked a narrow win over Stade Marocain 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Mouloudia Oujda as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Mouloudia Oujda vs Stade Marocain?
Mouloudia Oujda 2-1 Stade Marocain in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mouloudia Oujda vs Stade Marocain?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mouloudia Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mouloudia Oujda 46%, draw 30%, Stade Marocain 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mouloudia Oujda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Mouloudia Oujda)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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20 Apr 2025