Kataller Toyama 1-2 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
22.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +14%
1.94/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.75
+47% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +65%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
239 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 13.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Iwaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 0
30.07.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-1 HT 1-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP3
03.04.2022 Iwaki Iwaki 1-1 HT 1-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
1-2
AWAY Iwaki
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
313 Passes 213
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki edged past Kataller Toyama 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Iwaki made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 57% of the ball to Iwaki's 43%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.00 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Iwaki?

Kataller Toyama 1-2 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 39%, draw 28%, Iwaki 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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