Tokushima Vortis 0-1 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.74
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.17/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.22
-16% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.8 Crosses 18.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
296 Passes 275
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.06.2024 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
16.03.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-2 HT 0-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
05.07.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 3-1 HT 0-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
12.04.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-2 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
25.09.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-1 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
17.04.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
0-1
AWAY Mito HollyHock
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
553 Passes 225
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock squeezed past Tokushima Vortis 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tokushima Vortis at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 69% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 31%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 1.33 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Mito HollyHock?

Tokushima Vortis 0-1 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 42%, draw 30%, Mito HollyHock 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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