JEF United 1-0 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.19
6+ Goals
9%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.52/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.34
-2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
429 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 18.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
202 Passes 469
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
13.04.2024 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
24.06.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
19.03.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
02.07.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 3-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
30.04.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-3 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
1-0
AWAY Oita Trinita
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
303 Passes 244
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United edged past Oita Trinita 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, JEF United had 55% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 45%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for JEF United and 1.67 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Oita Trinita?

JEF United 1-0 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split JEF United 50%, draw 26%, Oita Trinita 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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