Zhenys 0-1 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhenys EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.46/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.51
-50% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -44%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
241 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhenys
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Yelimay Semey
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
27.07.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-0 HT 0-0 Zhenys KAZP
04.05.2024 Zhenys 1-2 HT 0-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhenys vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey nicked a narrow win over Zhenys 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yelimay Semey as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yelimay Semey led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zhenys and 1.50 for Yelimay Semey.

What was the final score of Zhenys vs Yelimay Semey?

Zhenys 0-1 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhenys vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zhenys 34%, draw 26%, Yelimay Semey 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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