Kazincbarcika 1-1 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazincbarcika EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 22%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.93/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.20
+19% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazincbarcika
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ajka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 0-1 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika MAC2
03.03.2024 Ajka Ajka 1-0 HT 0-0 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika MAC2
27.08.2023 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
23.04.2023 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
30.10.2022 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 0-0 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika MAC2
13.12.2020 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kazincbarcika
1-1
AWAY Ajka
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kazincbarcika vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kazincbarcika and Ajka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Kazincbarcika carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Kazincbarcika had 58% of the ball to Ajka's 42%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kazincbarcika had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kazincbarcika and 0.50 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Kazincbarcika vs Ajka?

Kazincbarcika 1-1 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazincbarcika vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kazincbarcika win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kazincbarcika 55%, draw 25%, Ajka 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kazincbarcika), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kazincbarcika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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