Al Mokawloon 1-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.52
Over
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
47%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
60%
-14.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.8pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.74/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/0.85
+17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +53%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.12.2024 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
1-1
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon and Ghazl Kafr El Dawar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Mokawloon at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 50% of the ball to Ghazl Kafr El Dawar's 50%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Al Mokawloon 1-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 46%, draw 30%, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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