20/04/2025
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Derot vs Aswan FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
Over
33%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
43%
4-5
13%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
31%
Draw
29%
40%
Away Win
45%
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
56%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derot v Aswan FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Derot
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Aswan FC
EU Bookmakers 49%
-18% /
-18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+12%
0.49/1.17
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.89/0.45
-39%
/
-1%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-34%
/
+93%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
8
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
239 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
274 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.8
Yellow Cards
2.0
Derot vs Aswan FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Derot
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Aswan FC
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Derot vs Aswan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Derot edged past Aswan FC 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Derot made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Derot vs Aswan FC?
Derot 1-0 Aswan FC in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derot vs Aswan FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aswan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Derot 29%, draw 31%, Aswan FC 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aswan FC) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Aswan FC)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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MSR2
More Egypt - 2nd Division
20 Apr 2025