Cusco FC 3-0 Ayacucho FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -1%
1.71/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.60
+5% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
18.6 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ayacucho FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.57 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
296 Passes 274
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.09.2021 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
20.11.2020 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
01.10.2020 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
02.11.2019 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
18.05.2019 Cusco FC Cusco FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
13.09.2017 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
3-0
AWAY Ayacucho FC
1.42 xG 0.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 0
464 Passes 389
88% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Ayacucho FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC swept aside Ayacucho FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cusco FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cusco FC had 55% of the ball to Ayacucho FC's 45%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.42 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cusco FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cusco FC and 1.00 for Ayacucho FC.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Ayacucho FC?

Cusco FC 3-0 Ayacucho FC in the Peru - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Ayacucho FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 58%, draw 23%, Ayacucho FC 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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