UTC Cajamarca 0-1 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-7.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 42%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.32/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.10
+30% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.2 Crosses 15.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2W-3D-1L
AWAY ADT
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.87 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
245 Passes 192
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 0-1 ADT ADT PER
16.03.2024 ADT ADT 2-1 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
28.08.2023 ADT ADT 0-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
08.04.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
20.10.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-2 HT 2-0 ADT ADT PER
19.06.2022 ADT ADT 1-2 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
0-1
AWAY ADT
1.98 xG 0.84
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
291 Passes 259
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT squeezed past UTC Cajamarca 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; ADT found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 53% of the ball to ADT's 47%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.98 to 0.84 — on chances, UTC Cajamarca could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.00 for ADT.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs ADT?

UTC Cajamarca 0-1 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 37%, draw 33%, ADT 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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