Sport Huancayo 4-2 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.03
Over 2.5
42%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
67%
-14.5pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.4pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.59/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.70
+2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.2
22.7 Crosses 13.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 0.59
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
342 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2024 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 2-2 HT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
14.03.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 3-2 HT 1-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
12.09.2018 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
26.05.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-3 HT 0-3 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
30.10.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 HT 2-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
21.07.2017 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 3-1 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
4-2
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.79 xG 0.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
235 Passes 320
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Huancayo got the better of Comerciantes Unidos 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sport Huancayo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 44% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 56%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.79 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Huancayo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sport Huancayo and 1.33 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Sport Huancayo 4-2 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 52%, draw 26%, Comerciantes Unidos 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Huancayo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sport Huancayo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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