Sport Huancayo 2-2 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.63/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.28
+1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
23.7 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 0.60
53% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 Passes 294
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 3-2 HT 1-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
12.09.2018 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
26.05.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-3 HT 0-3 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
30.10.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 HT 2-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
21.07.2017 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 3-1 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
10.04.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 HT 1-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
2-2
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
0.87 xG 0.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
266 Passes 272
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 7
11 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Huancayo and Comerciantes Unidos shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sport Huancayo at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 49% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 51%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.87 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sport Huancayo and 1.33 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Sport Huancayo 2-2 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 56%, draw 22%, Comerciantes Unidos 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sport Huancayo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Huancayo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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