UTC Cajamarca 1-1 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -9%
1.41/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.40
+16% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.9 Crosses 17.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2W-2D-1L
AWAY ADT
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
238 Passes 184
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 ADT ADT 2-1 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
28.08.2023 ADT ADT 0-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
08.04.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
20.10.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-2 HT 2-0 ADT ADT PER
19.06.2022 ADT ADT 1-2 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
1-1
AWAY ADT
1.22 xG 0.66
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
271 Passes 226
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 10
33 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTC Cajamarca and ADT shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 54% of the ball to ADT's 46%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 1.22 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.00 for ADT.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs ADT?

UTC Cajamarca 1-1 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 38%, draw 27%, ADT 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UTC Cajamarca), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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