Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 Plaza Colonia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
1.52/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.23
+10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Plaza Colonia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.11.2023 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
15.07.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-2 HT 1-2 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
10.04.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-1 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
01.10.2022 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 1-3 HT 1-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
07.05.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
16.10.2021 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-1 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-0
AWAY Plaza Colonia
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Plaza Colonia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) squeezed past Plaza Colonia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 56% of the ball to Plaza Colonia's 44%, shots finished 9-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 0.83 for Plaza Colonia.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Plaza Colonia?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 Plaza Colonia in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Plaza Colonia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 41%, draw 27%, Plaza Colonia 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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