Dnepr Mogilev 2-2 Torpedo Zhodino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 20 Apr 2026

📅20/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.57
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
50%
Away Win
46%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.20/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.61
+8% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +68%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
241 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
02.06.2024 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 4-2 HT 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
07.05.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
21.06.2014 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 2-1 HT 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
28.02.2014 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 3-3 HT 2-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
2-2
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs Torpedo Zhodino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Mogilev and Torpedo Zhodino shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Zhodino at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dnepr Mogilev had 37% of the ball to Torpedo Zhodino's 63%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Torpedo Zhodino led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 2.20 for Torpedo Zhodino.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Dnepr Mogilev 2-2 Torpedo Zhodino in the Belarus - Premier League on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 25%, draw 25%, Torpedo Zhodino 50%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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