Fortaleza 3-2 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 20 Apr 2026

📅20/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.56
Over
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.25
2-3
38%
1.71
4-5
18%
4.75
6+
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma The Market 26%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.64/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.37
+49% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
18.7 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Criciuma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 0.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 Passes 277
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
25.07.2024 Criciuma Criciuma 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
08.09.2018 Criciuma Criciuma 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR2
23.05.2018 Fortaleza Fortaleza 2-0 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
21.06.2008 Criciuma Criciuma 2-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza
3-2
AWAY Criciuma
0.55 xG 0.85
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
264 Passes 341
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Fortaleza vs Criciuma
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fortaleza shaded a tight game against Criciuma 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fortaleza as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (60%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Fortaleza had 45% of the ball to Criciuma's 55%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.55 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortaleza and 1.00 for Criciuma.

Fortaleza vs Criciuma Result & Final Score

Fortaleza 3-2 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fortaleza vs Criciuma Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 49%, draw 27%, Criciuma 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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