Novorizontino vs Athletic Club Prediction — Model Probabilities
Novorizontino v Athletic Club — Team-Based Signals
Novorizontino vs Athletic Club Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Novorizontino 2-1 Athletic Club — Actual Match Statistics
Novorizontino edged past Athletic Club 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 63% to 37% in Novorizontino's favour, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.99 to 0.77 — on chances created, Novorizontino won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Novorizontino had the better of it with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Novorizontino against 0.00 for Athletic Club.
Novorizontino vs Athletic Club Result & Final Score
Novorizontino 2-1 Athletic Club in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Novorizontino vs Athletic Club Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 52%, draw 26%, Athletic Club 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.