Den Bosch 1-1 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Apr 2026

📅20/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.55
6+ Goals
11%
6.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.46
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
20%
4.93
X/2
6%
7.96
X/X
12%
6.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.9
2/2
13%
5.14
2/X
6%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.9 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+2.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.9pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.73/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.33
+0% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
19.0 Crosses 16.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Utrecht II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.46 xG 1.22
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 361
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2025 Utrecht II Utrecht II 3-2 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
27.01.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
16.09.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-3 HT 0-2 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
15.04.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-2 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
04.11.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-1 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
08.05.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
1-1
AWAY Utrecht II
0.98 xG 1.44
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 10
223 Passes 331
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch and Utrecht II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Den Bosch at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Den Bosch had 43% of the ball to Utrecht II's 57%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.98 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Den Bosch had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Den Bosch and 0.67 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Utrecht II?

Den Bosch 1-1 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 52%, draw 22%, Utrecht II 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Den Bosch), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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