Utrecht II 0-3 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
45%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.64
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
9%
5.57
X/2
19%
5.64
X/X
10%
4.68
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
19%
3.71
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
45%
Away Win
36%
+8.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.9pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.30/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.34
-33% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
13.7 Crosses 17.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 0.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 Passes 285
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-2 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
04.11.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-1 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
08.05.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
06.01.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-4 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
18.04.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
29.10.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-1 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
0-3
AWAY Den Bosch
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch swept aside Utrecht II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Den Bosch as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Utrecht II had 51% of the ball to Den Bosch's 49%, shots finished 20-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Den Bosch led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Utrecht II and 1.17 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs Den Bosch?

Utrecht II 0-3 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated an Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 31%, draw 25%, Den Bosch 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Den Bosch), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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