Helmond Sport 1-0 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.16
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
14.45
X/1
14%
4.03
X/2
11%
9.65
X/X
10%
5.27
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
9%
7.29
2/X
5%
15.15
Value flag · 1/X at 14.45 — our 12% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.00/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.49
-14% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
16.3 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Oss
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.75 xG 1.15
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
408 Passes 309
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
15.09.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
31.03.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-2 HT 2-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
30.09.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
21.01.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-3 HT 1-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
12.11.2021 FC Oss FC Oss 0-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
1-0
AWAY FC Oss
0.90 xG 0.28
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 7
445 Passes 180
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport edged past FC Oss 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Helmond Sport as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 66% of the ball to FC Oss's 34%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.90 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Oss led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.50 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs FC Oss?

Helmond Sport 1-0 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 48%, draw 27%, FC Oss 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helmond Sport), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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