Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Shakhtar Donetsk v Polessya — Team-Based Signals
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Polessya — Actual Match Statistics
Shakhtar Donetsk found just enough to beat Polessya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 53% to 47% in Shakhtar Donetsk's favour, shots finished 6-5.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Polessya led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.20 a game for Shakhtar Donetsk against 0.40 for Polessya.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya Result & Final Score
Shakhtar Donetsk 1 - 0 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 55%, draw 27%, Polessya 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.