FC Nordsjaelland 3-3 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.41
2-3 Goals
39%
2.12
4-5 Goals
29%
2.52
6+ Goals
11%
5.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.19
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.63
X/2
9%
9.35
X/X
9%
6.43
2/1
11%
19.6
2/2
8%
5.73
2/X
10%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.4pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 27%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
2.09/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.56
+47% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
16.5 Crosses 18.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Midtjylland
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
426 Passes 382
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-3 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
12.11.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
27.08.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
07.11.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
11.09.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
17.10.2021 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 HT 2-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
3-3
AWAY Midtjylland
2.82 xG 2.94
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 21
9 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
555 Passes 266
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
46 Box Touches 41
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland and Midtjylland couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Nordsjaelland at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 64% of the ball to Midtjylland's 36%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 2.82 to 2.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.17 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland?

FC Nordsjaelland 3-3 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 51%, draw 25%, Midtjylland 24%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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