Lyngby 3-1 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 27% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.06
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
12%
6.12
X/2
12%
5.21
X/X
9%
4.96
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
18%
3.24
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyngby EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.17
-11% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
19.3 Crosses 20.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyngby
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Viborg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 1.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
327 Passes 397
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 1-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
17.03.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 2-0 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
28.07.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-2 HT 1-2 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
07.10.2022 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
28.08.2022 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
11.03.2017 Lyngby Lyngby 1-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyngby
3-1
AWAY Viborg
0.99 xG 0.93
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
273 Passes 317
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lyngby vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyngby got the better of Viborg 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Lyngby made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lyngby had 48% of the ball to Viborg's 52%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.99 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lyngby and 1.17 for Viborg.

What was the final score of Lyngby vs Viborg?

Lyngby 3-1 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyngby vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lyngby 39%, draw 25%, Viborg 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyngby) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyngby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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